Addendum - CIF Playoff Projections

Monday, October 24

Oct 24, 2022

While the CIF Playoff Bulletin explains that teams over .500 have priority, with regard to At-Large bids, we all know this is not a had and fast rule. As such, in our Week 9 projection, At-Large bids were awarded to teams with records under .500, at 4-5.

The reason we did this was simple. Some of these teams will be 5-5 next week, and thus eligible. Some will end up as AQ teams, depending on what happens in their respective league. As a result, to try and garner a more accurate sample, we included eight (8) 4-5 teams in the projection, as well as a 4-6 team, in Chino Hills (Baseline).

At the end of this addendum, we also included all 4-5 teams (and one 4-4 team) that fell within range of Divisions 9 through 11 to match distribution of bids, as Patriot (River Valley), the final at-large included in the projection, fell into Division 11.

While the actual teams may not be entirely accurate, based on Week 10 results, we do believe the number of teams will wind up being fairly close, with 8-12 ending up in the field, either as AQ or At-Large teams, giving us an idea of how the divisions would break out. To account for margin of error, we also Included the next five teams currently with CalPreps ratings, just outside of the Division 11 range.

DIVISION 2

J Serra - Trinity

DIVISION 5

Valencia - Foothill

Notre Dame - Mission

Simi Valley - Marmonte

DIVISION 6

Chino Hills* (4-6) - Baseline

DIVISION 7

Capo Valley - South Coast

Fountain Valley - Sunset

Foothill - Crestview